Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.000194 0.000217 0.000242 0.000270 0.000302 0.000336 0.000376
2024-12-29 0.000160 0.000191 0.000226 0.000269 0.000320 0.000380 0.000453
2025-01-05 0.000134 0.000169 0.000210 0.000265 0.000333 0.000416 0.000526
2025-01-12 0.000116 0.000153 0.000200 0.000264 0.000349 0.000458 0.000607
2025-01-19 0.000102 0.000141 0.000193 0.000266 0.000367 0.000502 0.000696
2025-01-26 0.000089 0.000129 0.000183 0.000262 0.000376 0.000535 0.000774
2025-02-02 0.000084 0.000125 0.000184 0.000273 0.000407 0.000601 0.000902
2025-02-09 0.000077 0.000119 0.000180 0.000277 0.000427 0.000651 0.001012
2025-02-16 0.000071 0.000113 0.000176 0.000280 0.000446 0.000700 0.001125
2025-02-23 0.000065 0.000106 0.000171 0.000279 0.000458 0.000741 0.001227
2025-03-02 0.000058 0.000099 0.000163 0.000274 0.000463 0.000770 0.001311
2025-03-09 0.000054 0.000093 0.000158 0.000273 0.000473 0.000807 0.001414
2025-03-16 0.000050 0.000088 0.000154 0.000274 0.000487 0.000855 0.001542
2025-03-23 0.000046 0.000084 0.000150 0.000274 0.000501 0.000904 0.001676
2025-03-30 0.000042 0.000079 0.000144 0.000270 0.000508 0.000940 0.001792
2025-04-06 0.000039 0.000075 0.000141 0.000270 0.000521 0.000989 0.001936
2025-04-13 0.000036 0.000072 0.000138 0.000272 0.000538 0.001046 0.002100
2025-04-20 0.000033 0.000068 0.000133 0.000269 0.000544 0.001083 0.002228
2025-04-27 0.000033 0.000067 0.000136 0.000280 0.000581 0.001184 0.002496
2025-05-04 0.000031 0.000065 0.000135 0.000284 0.000603 0.001256 0.002711
2025-05-11 0.000029 0.000063 0.000133 0.000287 0.000623 0.001325 0.002927
2025-05-18 0.000027 0.000061 0.000130 0.000287 0.000635 0.001379 0.003113
2025-05-25 0.000025 0.000057 0.000125 0.000282 0.000637 0.001411 0.003255